AI-Powered F1 Predictions: Race 3 (Japan)
Another race, another Mercedes win, and indeed another Antonelli win! On the back of his first win in the last round, he only went and did it again in Japan. What was looking like a season that was Russell’s for the taking, the young upstart is coming along to give him a challenge.
| Verstappen | Antonelli | Albon | Stroll | Most places gained | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race result | 8 | 1 | 20 | 21 | Lawson | |
| Humans | 9 (±1) | 2 (±1) | 15 (±5) | 20 (±1) | Lindblad | 8 |
| Google Gemini 3.1 Pro | 7 (±1) | 2 (±1) | 16 (±4) | 22 (±1) | Piastri | 7 |
| Anthropic Claude Opus 4.6 | 6 (±2) | 1 (±0) | 12 (±8) | 16 (±5) | Piastri | 15 |
| OpenAI GPT-5.4 | 6 (±2) | 1 (±0) | 14 (±6) | 17 (±4) | Bearman | 12 |
Gemini takes the win this week - despite not getting any predictions completely on the money like Opus and GPT did.
That means that after race 2, the scoreboard looks like this:
| Race | Google Gemini | Claude Opus | OpenAI GPT | Humans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 21 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
| China | 15 | 8 | 13 | 11 |
| Japan | 7 | 15 | 12 | 8 |
| Total | 43 | 45 | 49 | 40 |
Out of all of the models, Gemini takes the lead this week - though the squishy humans have now taken the overall lead
Gemini’s betting picks
This week, Gemini had another £20 to play with. What did it do with it?
- £5 on Lance Stroll being the first driver to retire (Odds: 10/3)
- Incorrect!
- £10 on George Russell to win the race (Odds: 4/7)
- Incorrect!
- £5 on Kimi Antonelli as the fastest qualifier (Odds: 23/10)
- Correct! £16.50 returned
- £5 on Lewis Hamilton for a points finish (Odds: 1/10)
- Correct! £5.50 returned
Potential returns: £21.66 + £15.71 + £16.50 + £5.50 = £59.37 Actual returns: £22.00
Overall, Gemini has placed £60 in race bets and returned £55.57, leaving it £4.43 in the red.
Next up: Miami. I’ll ask the models the same questions, and we’ll see how they get on.