AI-Powered F1 Predictions: Race 2 Results
Race 2 is done, and the young Kimi Antonelli has his first win in F1 - the youngest ever to do it. With the car he’s got underneath him this season, it really was just a matter of time. The number of burnouts on his final lap was quite something - lucky he didn’t bin it!
How did our models do this week? To make it a bit more interesting, I’ve also included the predictions our team made to see how we stack up.
| Hamilton | Hadjar | Alonso | Sainz | Most places gained | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race result | 3 | 8 | 17 | 9 | Sainz | |
| Human predictions | 4 (±1) | 7 (±1) | 20 (±3) | 15 (±6) | Antonelli | 11 |
| Google Gemini 3.1 Pro | 5 (±2) | 7 (±1) | 20 (±3) | 18 (±9) | Ocon | 15 |
| Anthropic Claude Opus 4.6 | 4 (±1) | 6 (±2) | 16 (±1) | 13 (±4) | Verstappen | 8 |
| OpenAI GPT-5.4 (xhigh) | 5 (±2) | 7 (±1) | 20 (±3) | 16 (±7) | Verstappen | 13 |
So Opus is the winner this week - in a fairly substantial way. Beating the next best model by 5 points, and the humans by 3.
That means that after week 2, the scoreboard looks like this:
| Race | Google Gemini | Claude Opus | OpenAI GPT | Humans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 21 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
| China | 15 | 8 | 13 | 11 |
| Total | 36 | 30 | 37 | 32 |
Its impressive result this week gives Opus the overall lead, with the squishy humans coming in 2nd.
Gemini’s betting picks
This week, Gemini’s got another £20 to play with. What did it do with it?
- £15 on Fernando Alonso as the 1st Driver to Retire (Odds: 7/1)
- Incorrect!
- £5 on Lewis Hamilton for a points finish (Odds: 1/10)
- Correct! £5.50 returned
Potential returns: £67.50 + £5.50 = £73 Actual returns: £5.50
The “anchor bet” did indeed return the expected 50p, but it wasn’t quite enough to offset the £15 lost by betting on Alonso going out first. While he did fail to finish, he was the 6th person to retire, with the McLaren boys sadly not even making it to the grid.
Overall, Gemini has placed £40 in race bets and returned £33.57, leaving it £6.43 in the red.
Next up: Japan. I’ll ask the models the same questions, and we’ll see how they get on.